JKL Ltd., an Indian company has an export exposure of JPY 10,000,000 receivable December 31, 2022. Japanese Yen (JPY) is not directly quoted against…

CA Final · Advanced Financial Management · RTP · May 2024
JKL Ltd., an Indian company has an export exposure of JPY 10,000,000 receivable December 31, 2022. Japanese Yen (JPY) is not directly quoted against Indian Rupee. The current spot rates are: INR/US $ = 82.22 JPY/US$ = JPY 132.34 It is estimated that Japanese Yen will depreciate to 154 against US $ and Indian Rupee to depreciate to 85 against US $. Forward rates as on date for 31 st December 2022 are as follows: INR/US $ = 86.50 JPY/US$ = JPY 140.35 Required: (i) Evaluate the expected loss based on estimated rates if the hedging is not done. (ii) Justify the decision to take forward cover even if actual rates on December 31, 2022 happens to be as follows: INR/US $ = 86.25 JPY/US$ = JPY 140.85 Note: Make calculation of ₹ rate in upto 4 decimal points.

Suggested Answer and Working Notes:

(a) Since the direct quote for ₹ and ¥ is not available it will be calculated by cross exchange rate as follows: ₹/$ x $/¥ = ₹/¥ 82.22/132.34 = 0.6213 Spot rate on date of export 1 ¥ = 0.6213 Estimated Rate of ¥ for Dec.31, 2022 = 0.5519 (₹ 85/¥ 154) Forward Rate of ¥ for Dec.31, 2022 = 0.6163 (₹ 86.50/ ¥ 140.35) (i) The expected loss without hedging Value of export at the time of export (0.6213 x ¥ 10,000,000) 62,13,000 Expected payment to be received on 31 st Dec. 2022 as per estimated rates (₹ 0.5519 x ¥ 10,000,000) 55,19,000 Loss 6,94,000 (ii) (a) Hedging of loss under Forward Cover Value of export at the time of export (0.6213 x ¥ 10,000,000) 62,13,000 Payment expected to be received under Forward Cover (0.6163 x ¥ 10,000,000) 61,63,000 Loss 50,000 Thus, by taking forward cover loss is reduced to 50,000 from 6,94,000 (b) Actual Rate of ¥ on December 2022 = 0.6124 (₹ 86.25/ ¥ 140.85) Value of export at the time of export (0.6213 x ¥ 10,000,000) 62,13,000 Payment to be received on 31 st Dec. 2022 as per actual rate (₹ 0.6124 x ¥ 10,000,000) 61,24,000 Loss 89,000 From the above solution, we can find that net loss in actual situation is 89,000 while net loss when taken Forward Cover is only - 50,000. Hence, the decision to take Forward Cover is justified even if the actual rate happens to be as prescribed.

Topics: Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management

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